What to Expect from this Years Flu Season

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As winter approaches in the Northern Hemisphere, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) anticipates a virus season characterized by a mix of flu, COVID-19, and RSV (respiratory syncytial virus). While this year’s peak hospitalizations are expected to be similar to or lower than last year’s, several factors could shape the winter ahead. Let’s take a look at them.

Predictive Scenarios
The CDC outlines two possible scenarios for winter. Scenario A predicts COVID-19 hospitalizations peaking in late December if the summer wave didn’t reach its peak before winter. Scenario B suggests a smaller COVID-19 wave could occur in mid-January, assuming the summer peak has already been reached. Both scenarios indicate that hospitalizations will likely be lower than last winter.

Historical Trends
Historical data indicates the summer COVID-19 wave peaked around August 10, potentially leading to lower population immunity as winter approaches. This could result in a higher winter peak compared to summer. The CDC believes late December will be critical for hospitalizations, following patterns seen in the past four years.

Vaccine Impact
Vaccination plays a crucial role in mitigating respiratory illnesses this season. By early September, only 24% of adults over 18 planned to receive a flu vaccine. If 17% of adults get the COVID-19 vaccine, it could prevent up to 98,000 hospitalizations.

Current Disease Activity
As of mid-October, respiratory disease activity in the U.S. remains low. Declining COVID-19 test positivity rates, emergency department visits, and hospitalizations signal a hopeful outlook, with flu and RSV cases also at low levels nationwide.

Community Preparedness
Community readiness is vital. Promoting vaccinations and good hygiene can significantly reduce severe illness risk. Staying informed about local health advisories will be essential for navigating potential case spikes.

Stay Vigilant!
Despite optimistic projections, remaining vigilant is crucial. Regularly monitoring body temperature can serve as an early warning for flu symptoms, and the Exergen Temporal Artery Thermometer offers a reliable and user-friendly option, particularly for seniors and young children. Regular temperature checks, ideally twice daily, are essential for early detection of flu symptoms.

While vaccination is the primary defense against flu-related health risks, consistent temperature monitoring is also important. Using an accurate thermometer like the Temporal Artery Thermometer of Exergen provides the necessary support. Together, these strategies can help manage health as we navigate the challenges of the virus season ahead.

Sources,

EXERGEN P/N 850274, Rev 1